Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Armand Melis Stadium (Dessel)


	Dessel Sport		Gent B

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.7	2.3
	3.9	3.85	1.71
	2.38	4.02	2.39
	2.39	3.86	2.31
	3.9	3.85	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.88)	3.86 ↓ (3.9)	2.08 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dessel Sport
31.2%

Draw
24.2%

Gent B
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

23.2%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

22.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dessel Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dessel Sport's performance.

Gent B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gent B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dessel Sport than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dessel Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent B than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dessel Sport - Gent B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Asselman W. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Asselman W. ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Bentayeb Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League).

Dessel is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gent B in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gent B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gent B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dessel won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:12 (average 1:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Dessel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dessel Sport
Belgian National Division 1 VV
22.03.25	Dessel Sport - Ninove	4:2 ✺
15.03.25	Hoogstraten - Dessel Sport	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Dessel Sport - Belisia Bilzen	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Dessel Sport	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Dessel Sport - Royal Antwerp 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTTT
- AA Gent B
Belgian National Division 1 VV
16.03.25	Belisia Bilzen - Gent B	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Gent B - Ninove	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Gent B - Cappellen	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Merelbeke - Gent B	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Gent B - Cercle Brugge 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
28.09.24	Gent B - Dessel Sport	3:1
Belgian National Division 1
13.04.24	Gent B - Dessel Sport	2:2
16.12.23	Dessel Sport - Gent B	1:4
05.05.23	Gent B - Dessel Sport	3:1
03.12.22	Dessel Sport - Gent B	0:0

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