Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Deusto		Alavés B

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.05	1.8
	4.8	3.35	1.6
	4.99	3.43	1.61
	5	3.3	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.87)	3.28 ↑ (3.02)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deusto
19.3%

Draw
27.3%

Alavés B
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

29.1%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.7%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alavés B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alavés B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deusto - Alavés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Deusto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alavés B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alavés B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alavés B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deusto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Deusto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.10.21	Beasain - Deusto	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Deusto - Santutxu	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Deusto - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Lagun Onak - Deusto	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Deusto - Vitoria	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTLL
- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.10.21	Alavés B - Lagun Onak	3:1 ✺
09.10.21	Vitoria - Alavés B	1:4 ✺
25.09.21	Pasaia - Alavés B	2:2 ✺
19.09.21	Alavés B - Uritarra	2:1 ✺
15.09.21	San Ignacio - Alavés B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.03.19	Deusto - Alavés B	2:0
21.10.18	Alavés B - Deusto	3:1

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