Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Deusto		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.71
	4.35	3.05	1.68
	4.2	3.2	1.73
	4.36	3.02	1.81
	4.25	3.32	1.78
	4.75	3.3	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (4.28)	3.2 ↓ (3.6)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deusto
20.5%

Draw
28%

Barakaldo
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.6%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Deusto - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Deusto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barakaldo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deusto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Deusto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.12.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Deusto	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Touring KE - Deusto	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Durango - Deusto	4:0 ✺
19.11.22	Deusto - Padura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWLT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.12.22	Barakaldo - Touring KE	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Barakaldo	1:5 ✺
04.12.22	Barakaldo - Durango	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Padura - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Barakaldo - Anaitasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.03.22	Barakaldo - Deusto	1:0
03.10.21	Deusto - Barakaldo	1:1

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