Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Deutz		Frechen

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.31
	5.8	4.4	1.33
	5.6	4.6	1.36
	6.36	4.72	1.41
	6.5	5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.25 ↓ (7.2)	4.74 ↓ (5)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deutz
14.4%

Draw
19%

Frechen
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

18.1%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

16%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deutz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Frechen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deutz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frechen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deutz - Frechen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Deutz has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frechen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Frechen is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deutz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Deutz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Deutz 05
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.10.21	Hürth - Deutz	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Deutz - Hennef 05	0:4 ✺
07.10.21	Fortuna Köln II - Deutz	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Deutz - Düren	0:4 ✺
19.09.21	Vichttal - Deutz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.10.21	Frechen - VfL Alfter	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Pesch - Frechen	0:0 ✺
06.10.21	Frechen - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Breinig - Frechen	0:4 ✺
19.09.21	Frechen - Wesseling-Urfeld	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
03.10.20	Deutz - Frechen	0:0
22.09.19	Frechen - Deutz	3:1
16.06.19	Deutz - Frechen	4:2
08.12.18	Frechen - Deutz	1:1

Deutz - Frechen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide