Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Frechen		VfL Alfter

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.1	3.5
	1.68	3.55	3.8
	1.62	3.75	4.1
	1.69	4.06	4.42
	1.7	4.12	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.92 ↓ (4.2)	3.93 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frechen
54%

Draw
23.1%

VfL Alfter
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

21.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

17.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frechen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frechen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (-3%)

Frechen - VfL Alfter Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 6).

Frechen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alfter is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frechen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Frechen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Frechen to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Frechen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Frechen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
10.10.21	Pesch - Frechen	0:0 ✺
06.10.21	Frechen - Glesch-Paffendorf	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Breinig - Frechen	0:4 ✺
19.09.21	Frechen - Wesseling-Urfeld	7:0 ✺
12.09.21	Siegburger - Frechen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW
- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
06.10.21	Hennef 05 - VfL Alfter	4:1 ✺
26.09.21	VfL Alfter - Fortuna Köln II	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Düren - VfL Alfter	5:0 ✺
12.09.21	VfL Alfter - Deutz	0:0 ✺
05.09.21	Vichttal - VfL Alfter	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
25.10.20	Frechen - VfL Alfter	3:3
28.04.19	Frechen - VfL Alfter	2:0
14.10.18	VfL Alfter - Frechen	2:2

Frechen - VfL Alfter

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Frechen - VfL Alfter Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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