Match Info

AFC Challenge League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Indomilk Arena (Tangerang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+


	Dewa United		Manila Digger

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	5.5	9.1
	1.25	5.22	10	Watch
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.21	6.73	11	Watch
	1.54	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	5.27 ↑ (4.5)	9 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dewa United
72%

Draw
17.7%

Manila Digger
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

21%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dewa United's performance.

Manila Digger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manila Digger than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dewa United - Manila Digger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dewa United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Stevens S. (G) 17. Lowe D. 2. Kuipers N. 8. Jaja 4. Johnathan 11. Marukawa T. 28. Messidoro A. 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 5. Lilipaly S. 97. Febriansah E. 22. Vico	16. Njie O. (G) 22. Taningco Z. 5. Joof M. 91. Sambou D. 6. Ashley D. 11. Touray B. 4. Badjie A. 12. Manneh M. (C) 21. Tafem D. 15. Gai P. O. 14. Nishioka K.
Substitutes
37. Ballah A. 14. Fatari B. 18. Jenner I. 1. Natshir M. (G) 6. Numberi T. 3. Prasetyo W. 15. Rangga M. 16. Rizky K. 77. Sadaoui N. 23. Setiawan A. 27. Struick R. 10. Vikri E.	1. Asong M. (G) 70. Baas J. 2. Barsanilla J. 88. Borlongan J. 10. Ceesay S. 30. Dabao C. 29. Felongco S. 28. Gasic N. (G) 99. Jallow M. 17. Jarvis J. 98. Limbo T. 9. Watanabe Y.
Coaches
Riekerink J. O.	Versales K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Kuipers N. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Gai P. O. ⚽, Joof M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Febriansah E. ↓, Prasetyo W. ↑,
46', Kuipers N. ↓, Ballah A. ↑,
46', Prasetyo W. 🟨,
52', 0 - 2, Joof M. ⚽, Nishioka K. (A),
55', Lilipaly S. ↓, Vikri E. ↑,
55', Johnathan ↓, Sadaoui N. ↑,
60', Gai P. O. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Lowe D. ⚽, Vikri E. (A),
70', Tafem D. ↓, Watanabe Y. ↑,
70', Ashley D. ↓, Dabao C. ↑,
76', Gai P. O. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
76', Marukawa T. ↓, Setiawan A. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Lowe D. ⚽,
89', Setiawan A. 🟨,
89', Nishioka K. ↓, Ceesay S. ↑,
90', Taningco Z. ↓, Jarvis J. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.

Recent performances by Dewa United have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Manila Digger is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dewa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Manila Digger has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dewa United is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dewa United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dewa United
AFC Challenge League
05.03.26	Manila Digger - Dewa United	1:0 ✺
Indonesian Super League
01.03.26	Dewa United - Bhayangkara	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Persita Tangerang - Dewa United	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Dewa United - Borneo Samarinda	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	PSM Makassar - Dewa United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWW
- Manila Digger
AFC Challenge League
05.03.26	Manila Digger - Dewa United	1:0 ✺
Philippines PFL
28.02.26	Manila Digger - Kaya	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Manila Digger - Don Bosco Garelli	6:1 ✺
11.02.26	Manila Digger - Mendiola	12:0 ✺
17.01.26	Aguilas-UMak - Manila Digger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Challenge League
05.03.26	Manila Digger - Dewa United	1:0

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