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Current Win Probability
Dewa United 40.6%
Draw 26.8%
Borneo Samarinda 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.5%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
27.8%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dewa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dewa United's form might have worsened.
Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borneo Samarinda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dewa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borneo Samarinda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dewa United - Borneo Samarinda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Stevens S. (G) 4. Johnathan 17. Lowe D. 14. Fatari B. 97. Febriansyah E. 18. Jenner I. 8. Jaja 7. Vico 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 11. Marukawa T. 39. Alex
1. Argawinata N. (C) 3. Idrus A. 5. Cleylton 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 50. Enero 8. Hirose K. 99. Sihran M. 20. Villa J. 10. Peralta M. 9. Obieta K.
Substitutes
37. Ballah A. 2. Kuipers N. 5. Lilipaly S. 1. Natshir M. (G) 6. Numberi T. 3. Prasetyo W. 16. Rizky K. 77. Sadaoui N. 23. Setiawan A. 10. Vikri E.
52. Ahmad Agung 14. Anez M. 7. Astina M. 54. Buffon A. 19. Camara O. 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 77. Khanafi M. 24. Michiels D. 16. Teguh K. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Riekerink J. O.
Lefundes F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Alex ⚽, Vico (A),
25', 2 - 0, Alex ⚽, Vico (A),
29', Idrus A. ↓, Teguh K. ↑,
33', 2 - 1, Teguh K. ⚽,
44', Enero 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jenner I. ↓, Lilipaly S. ↑,
65', Villa J. ↓, Astina M. ↑,
65', Sihran M. ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
67', Fatari B. ↓, Kuipers N. ↑,
67', Vico ↓, Sadaoui N. ↑,
67', Jaja ↓, Numberi T. ↑,
80', Febriansyah E. 🟨,
80', Hirose K. ↓, Anez M. ↑,
80', Enero ↓, Khanafi M. ↑,
84', Johnathan ↓, Prasetyo W. ↑,
88', Marukawa T. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Borneo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dewa United has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Dewa United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Indonesia
Watch
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Stevens S. (G) 
Johnathan 
Lowe D. 
Fatari B. 
Marukawa T. 
Nduwarugira C. 
Villa J. 
Peralta M. 
Obieta K. 
Sadaoui N. 
Anez M. 
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