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Current Win Probability
Dewa United 57.9%
Draw 23.2%
Persis Solo 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
24.3%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
20.5%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dewa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Persis Solo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dewa United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persis Solo than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persis Solo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dewa United - Persis Solo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Persis Solo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Stevens S. (G) 12. Nurviat R. 14. Fatari B. 2. Kuipers N. 37. Ballah A. 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 6. Numberi T. 11. Marukawa T. 28. Messidoro A. 9. Mbaga P. 39. Alex
1. Riyandi M. (G) 5. Tutuarima J. 4. Schenk X. 77. Castanheira A. 36. Alrizky A. 22. Sutanto T. 78. Fariz Z. 14. Yamamoto S. (C) 7. Jauhari I. 10. Tanaka K. 9. Kastaneer G.
Substitutes
21. Arjunsyah A. 20. Bagaskara S. 41. Cassio Scheid 7. Eka F. 97. Febriansyah E. 5. Lilipaly S. 1. Natshir M. (G) 23. Setiawan A. 27. Struick R. 10. Vikri E.
37. Arifin Z. 8. Kaka A. 47. Mannan A. 26. Miziar R. 15. Numberi G. 31. Pandenuwu G. (G) 18. Poerba A. 11. Saimima S. 6. Sule F. 40. Tanamal I. 30. Taufik E.
Coaches
Riekerink J. O.
Seslija M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Alex ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Tanaka K. (Own goal),
20', 3 - 0, Messidoro A. ⚽,
26', Kambuaya R. 🟨,
45+5', 3 - 1, Tanaka K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fatari B. ↓, Cassio Scheid ↑,
70', Tanaka K. ↓, Numberi G. ↑,
70', Castanheira A. ↓, Poerba A. ↑,
74', Marukawa T. ↓, Lilipaly S. ↑,
74', Ballah A. ↓, Febriansyah E. ↑,
75', Nurviat R. ↓, Setiawan A. ↑,
76', Jauhari I. ↓, Saimima S. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Lilipaly S. ⚽, Mbaga P. (A),
84', Kastaneer G. ↓, Kaka A. ↑,
84', Fariz Z. ↓, Tanamal I. ↑,
85', Mbaga P. ↓, Vikri E. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Messidoro A. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 2.
In recent matches, Dewa United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Persis Solo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Dewa United is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dewa United won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).