Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Persebaya Surabaya		Persis Solo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.15	Watch
	1.70	3.99	4.21	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3.5
	1.7	3.88	4.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)	3.72 ↓ (3.99)	3.84 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
50.6%

Draw
25.1%

Persis Solo
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

20.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Persis Solo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persis Solo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Persebaya Surabaya - Persis Solo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 4. Dimov D. 53. Irianto R. 91. Tumbas D. 7. Rivera F. 88. Raickovic M. 68. Firmansyah T. 22. Freitas Gali 11. Perovic M. 10. Bruno (C)	1. Riyandi M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 4. Schenk X. 19. Cleylton 5. Tutuarima J. 78. Fariz Z. 6. Sule F. 14. Yamamoto S. (C) 36. Alrizky A. 10. Tanaka K. 77. Castanheira A.
Substitutes
81. Baihaqi M. 99. Diego Mauricio 8. Fernando O. 77. Malik R. 18. May R. 27. Oscario R. (G) 55. Putra S. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 9. Rizky D. 12. Suaib A. 26. Wicaksono D.	37. Arifin Z. 8. Kaka A. 47. Mannan A. 26. Miziar R. 31. Pandenuwu G. (G) 18. Poerba A. 11. Saimima S. 2. Sanjaya I. 22. Sutanto T. 40. Tanamal I. 30. Taufik E.
Coaches
Perez E.	de Roo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Tanaka K. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Perovic M. ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Rivera F. ⚽,
56', Castanheira A. ↓, Kaka A. ↑,
72', Fariz Z. ↓, Poerba A. ↑,
76', Numberi G. 🟨,
80', Freitas Gali ↓, Malik R. ↑,
80', Tumbas D. ↓, May R. ↑,
80', Numberi G. ↓, Taufik E. ↑,
83', Raickovic M. ↓, Putra S. ↑,
90', Firmansyah T. ↓, Baihaqi M. ↑,
90', Perovic M. ↓, Rizky D. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 2.

Persebaya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Persis Solo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Persis Solo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Persebaya is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
24.10.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persija Jakarta	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Dewa United - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Persib Bandung - Persebaya Surabaya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTWL
- Persis Solo
Indonesian Super League
27.10.25	Persib Bandung - Persis Solo	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Persis Solo - Java United	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Persis Solo - Arema	2:2 ✺
22.09.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persis Solo	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Persis Solo - Persijap Jepara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
07.02.25	Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1
18.09.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Persis Solo	2:1
13.12.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Persis Solo	1:1
01.07.23	Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya	2:3
08.04.23	Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya	3:3
21.12.22	Persebaya Surabaya - Persis Solo	0:0

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