Match Info

NB I. - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: DVTK Stadion (Miskolc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Diósgyőri		MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	2.45	4	2.45
	2.45	3.75	2.4
	2.63	3.94	2.29
	2.46	3.58	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)	3.82 ↓ (3.9)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Diósgyőri
37%

Draw
24.2%

MTK Budapest
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

23.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

22.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 1 - 25%). MTK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 1 - 50%). MTK (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - MTK (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Diósgyőri (votes: 1 - 33.3%). MTK (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Sentic K. (G) 93. Tamas M. 3. Szatmari C. 50. Vallejo A. 22. Bokros S. 19. Keita A. 11. Gera D. 47. Mucsanyi M. 88. Mucsanyi M. 7. Acolatse E. 74. Babos B.	1. Demjen P. (G) 2. Varju B. 4. Beriashvili I. 25. Kadar T. 27. Kovacs P. 6. Kata M. 14. Horvath A. 7. Molnar A. 21. Atrok I. 23. Plsek J. 11. Jurina M.
Substitutes
20. Benyei A. 70. Demeter M. 25. Holdampf G. 10. Jurek G. 5. Kecskes A. 16. Komlosi B. 4. Lund M. 17. Macso M. 31. Megyeri G. (G) 24. Roguljic A. 9. Sajban M. 86. Zsombor S.	29. Balazs J. (G) 22. Bevardi Z. 24. Fadgyas T. (G) 20. Kerezsi Z. 5. Lehoczky R. 8. Nemeth H. 18. Nemeth K. 17. Polievka R. 15. Szeles I. A. 3. Szepe J. 28. Szucs P. 16. Torocsik P.
Coaches
Radenkovic V.	Horvath D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Babos B. ⚽,
43', Kata M. ↓, Torocsik P. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Jurina M. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Tamas M. ⚽, Acolatse E. (A),
60', Mucsanyi M. ↓, Sajban M. ↑,
60', Molnar A. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
66', Beriashvili I. 🟥,
67', 3 - 0, Acolatse E. (Pen),
69', Atrok I. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
69', Horvath A. ↓, Szepe J. ↑,
70', Plsek J. 🟨,
76', Nemeth K. 🟨,
77', 4 - 0, Keita A. ⚽,
82', Keita A. ↓, Holdampf G. ↑,
82', Mucsanyi M. ↓, Komlosi B. ↑,
82', Babos B. ↓, Benyei A. ↑,
82', Acolatse E. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
88', Benyei A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II. and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 1.

In recent matches, Diósgyőri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

MTK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Diósgyőri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:35. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

MTK Budapest - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian NB I
08.11.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Diósgyőri	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Diósgyőri - Ujpest	1:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
28.10.25	Diósgyőri - Szeged 2011	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
25.10.25	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Győri ETO - Diósgyőri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWL
- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
09.11.25	MTK Budapest - Debreceni	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Ferencvárosi - MTK Budapest	4:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
29.10.25	MTK Budapest - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	5:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
25.10.25	Puskás Academy - MTK Budapest	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	MTK Budapest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
09.08.25	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	5:0
17.05.25	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	2:1
21.02.25	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	4:0
19.10.24	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	0:2
14.04.24	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	1:1
16.12.23	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	3:3
02.09.23	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	2:1

Upcoming Matches