The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MTK Budapest 43.1%
Draw 24.9%
Debreceni 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
22.7%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
22.3%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MTK Budapest's form might have worsened.
Debreceni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MTK Budapest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (-5%)
MTK Budapest - Debreceni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Demjen P. (G) 2. Varju B. 25. Kadar T. 4. Beriashvili I. 27. Kovacs P. 14. Horvath A. 6. Kata M. (C) 7. Molnar A. 10. Bognar I. 21. Atrok I. 11. Jurina M.
1. Varga A. (G) 77. Szecsi M. 4. Mejias J. 26. Lang A. 3. Guerrero A. 20. Youga A. 8. Szucs T. 19. Kocsis D. 10. Dzsudzsak B. (C) 22. Vajda B. 17. Barany D.
Substitutes
22. Bevardi Z. 24. Fadgyas T. (G) 20. Kerezsi Z. 5. Lehoczky R. 8. Nemeth H. 18. Nemeth K. 23. Plsek J. 17. Polievka R. 15. Szeles I. A. 3. Szepe J. 28. Szucs P. 16. Torocsik P.
5. Batik B. 95. Bermejo A. 99. Cibla F. 96. Dacosta J. 90. Djokic D. 14. Gordic D. 11. Komaromi G. 49. Kulbachuk V. 16. Manzanara F. 86. Palfi D. (G) 74. Sissoko N. 13. Szuhodovszki S.
Coaches
Horvath D.
Navarro S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Szecsi M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Atrok I. ⚽, Kovacs P. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Bognar I. ⚽, Atrok I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szecsi M. ↓, Dacosta J. ↑,
53', Barany D. ↓, Djokic D. ↑,
53', Guerrero A. ↓, Gordic D. ↑,
54', Dacosta J. 🟨,
59', 3 - 0, Molnar A. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
60', Bognar I. ↓, Plsek J. ↑,
61', Dzsudzsak B. 🟨,
61', Molnar A. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
72', Kata M. 🟨,
74', Kocsis D. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
74', Szucs T. ↓, Cibla F. ↑,
75', Jurina M. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
75', Kata M. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
81', Atrok I. ↓, Nemeth H. ↑,
84', Kerezsi Z. 🟨,
85', Youga A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
MTK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Debreceni has had a series of home games.
MTK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).