Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HESSEN - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Dietkirchen		Fernwald

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.63
	3.9	4.51	1.67
	3.9	4.52	1.67
	3.98	4.33	1.62
	4	4.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (1.47)	4.35 ↓ (5.04)	1.64 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dietkirchen
23.2%

Draw
21.1%

Fernwald
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

17.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

17.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dietkirchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-38.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dietkirchen's form might have worsened.

Fernwald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fernwald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dietkirchen than the current prediction. (+40.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dietkirchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fernwald than the current prediction. (-35.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fernwald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dietkirchen won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Dietkirchen have a series of guest games.

In this match Fernwald is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dietkirchen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Dietkirchen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Dietkirchen
German Oberliga Hessen
18.11.23	Erlensee - Dietkirchen	4:0 ✺
12.11.23	Rot-Weiss Walldorf - Dietkirchen	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Dietkirchen - Bayern Alzenau	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Adler Weidenhausen - Dietkirchen	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Viktoria Griesheim - Dietkirchen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTWLW
- FSV 1926 Fernwald
German Oberliga Hessen
18.11.23	Fernwald - Viktoria Griesheim	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Fernwald - Hanau	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	SV Steinbach - Fernwald	2:3 ✺
28.10.23	Fernwald - Türk Gücü Friedberg	4:6 ✺
21.10.23	Baunatal - Fernwald	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hessen
11.08.23	Fernwald - Dietkirchen	2:0
22.04.23	Fernwald - Dietkirchen	3:2
03.10.22	Dietkirchen - Fernwald	1:7
10.05.22	Dietkirchen - Fernwald	0:3
19.03.22	Fernwald - Dietkirchen	5:2
16.09.20	Dietkirchen - Fernwald	2:1

Dietkirchen - Fernwald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide