Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HESSEN - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Erlensee		Dietkirchen

	1	X	2
	1.87	4	3.2
	1.92	4.04	3.24
	1.93	4.04	3.24
	1.8	3.75	3.1
	1.86	3.94	3.22
	1.87	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	3.2 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlensee
48.6%

Draw
23%

Dietkirchen
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

21.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

22%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlensee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erlensee's performance.

Dietkirchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dietkirchen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlensee than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erlensee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dietkirchen than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dietkirchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Erlensee - Dietkirchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Erlensee is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dietkirchen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erlensee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dietkirchen have a series of guest games.

Erlensee will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erlensee won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Erlensee won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 1906 Erlensee
German Oberliga Hessen
11.11.23	Erlensee - Eintracht Stadtallendorf	2:3 ✺
28.10.23	Erlensee - SV Steinbach	1:3 ✺
17.10.23	Türk Gücü Friedberg - Erlensee	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Erlensee - Baunatal	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Gießen - Erlensee	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLTLT
- TuS Dietkirchen
German Oberliga Hessen
12.11.23	Rot-Weiss Walldorf - Dietkirchen	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Dietkirchen - Bayern Alzenau	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Adler Weidenhausen - Dietkirchen	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Viktoria Griesheim - Dietkirchen	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Eintracht Stadtallendorf - Dietkirchen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hessen
05.08.23	Dietkirchen - Erlensee	1:4
01.04.23	Erlensee - Dietkirchen	1:1
17.09.22	Dietkirchen - Erlensee	3:0
23.04.22	Dietkirchen - Erlensee	0:2
12.03.22	Erlensee - Dietkirchen	3:1

Erlensee - Dietkirchen

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Erlensee - Dietkirchen Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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