Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 21

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange (Differdange) 🌤️ ...


	Differdange 03		Jeunesse Esch

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.74	11.77
	1.27	5.24	9.33	Watch
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.3	5.22	9.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.43)	5.25 ↑ (4.3)	10.11 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Differdange 03
73.2%

Draw
17.6%

Jeunesse Esch
9.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Differdange 03's performance.

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeunesse Esch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Differdange 03 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Felipe (G) 10. Abreu A. 14. Bedouret J. 5. Brusco T. 25. Franzoni G. 23. Hadji S. 55. Leandro Borges 32. Lempereur D. 7. Mfoumou B. 20. Pinto R. 21. Rauch L.	1. Sommer K. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 5. Belgacem J. 90. Elshan L. 19. Flick T. 30. Jonathans D. 92. Klisurica R. 24. Mancini T. 8. Soares D. 17. Teixeira J. 4. Todorovic M.
Substitutes
77. Bei G. 9. Buch A. 11. Costa P. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 66. Gomes Ricciulli J. P. 26. Mendes F. 28. Pacheco E.	75. De Oliveira R. 45. de Sousa A. 22. Diallo O. 16. Englaro S. (G) 37. Isamene H. 85. Silvestre R. 33. Weis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Rauch L. ↓, Pacheco E. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Mfoumou B. ⚽, Pinto R. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Jonathans D. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Soares D. 🟨,
69', Hadji S. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
69', Mfoumou B. ↓, Costa P. ↑,
73', Franzoni G. ↓, Bei G. ↑,
75', Costa P. 🟥,
84', Elshan L. ↓, Isamene H. ↑,
89', Flick T. ↓, de Sousa A. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 4.

Differdange 03 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jeunesse Esch's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Differdange 03 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Differdange 03 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Differdange 03 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Differdange	11	10	0	1	32:9	23	30
10	Jeunesse Esch	11	4	1	6	19:21	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Differdange 03 - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
08.03.26	Differdange 03 - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen	4:3 ET ✺
Luxembourg National Division
28.02.26	Jeunesse Canach - Differdange 03	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Rodange - Differdange 03	0:6 ✺
14.02.26	Racing Luxembourg - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWW
- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
08.03.26	Jeunesse Esch - Jeunesse Canach	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Rodange - Jeunesse Esch	3:3 ✺
21.02.26	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Mamer - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Jeunesse Esch - Atert Bissen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
01.10.25	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	0:1
06.04.25	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	0:2
29.09.24	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	1:0
30.03.24	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	4:3
27.09.23	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	3:1
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	3:1
Luxembourg National Division
30.04.23	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	0:2

Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch