Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 18

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Frontière (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Jeunesse Esch		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.2	2.32
	2.66	3.51	2.34	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.3
	2.67	3.28	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.27)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)	2.32 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Esch
33.8%

Draw
27.5%

Racing Luxembourg
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jeunesse Esch's form might have worsened.

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Luxembourg's recent form is better than expected.

Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer K. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 14. Andrade D. 2. Borger M. 90. Elshan L. 19. Flick T. 30. Jonathans D. 92. Klisurica R. 8. Soares D. 17. Teixeira J. 4. Todorovic M. (C)	16. Ruffier R. (G) 77. Dewalque L. 11. Diakhite A. 6. Freire B. 10. Ikene F. (C) 8. Kante M. 12. Lesquoy T. 21. Mabanza C. 29. Matuvangua R. 30. Monge N. 7. Stolz D.
Substitutes
75. De Oliveira R. 22. Diallo O. 16. Englaro S. (G) 37. Isamene H. 24. Mancini T. 21. Nurenberg L. 85. Silvestre R.	15. Barros T. 37. Bisevac A. 20. Fonrose F. 23. Lukoki W. 31. Matubanzila S. 19. Qevani A. 1. Sancho P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Andrade Brites C. 🟨,
25', Teixeira J. 🟨,
30', Freire B. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Ikene F. ⚽,
36', Monge N. 🟨,
37', 🟨,
44', Andrade D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Kante M. 🟨,
62', Jonathans D. 🟨,
67', Matuvangua R. ↓, Qevani A. ↑,
67', Kante M. ↓, Matubanzila S. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Andrade D. ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
72', Soares D. ↓, Isamene H. ↑,
73', Andrade Brites C. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
73', Flick T. ↓, Nurenberg L. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Dewalque L. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Todorovic M. ⚽,
80', Matubanzila S. 🟨,
82', Dewalque L. 🟨,
86', Jonathans D. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
88', Diakhite A. ↓, Lukoki W. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Nurenberg L. ⚽, Isamene H. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 3.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeunesse Esch won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeunesse Esch won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14:17	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
15.02.26	Mamer - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Jeunesse Esch - Atert Bissen	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Pétange - Jeunesse Esch	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Jeunesse Esch - UNA Strassen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTWTL
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
14.02.26	Racing Luxembourg - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Jeunesse Canach - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Racing Luxembourg - Hostert	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Mamer	5:2 ✺
26.11.25	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
24.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:1
27.04.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	2:0
03.11.24	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	2:1
24.02.24	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	3:0
27.08.23	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	0:3
29.03.23	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
09.10.22	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	2:1

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