Match Info

Coupe de France Women - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Dijon		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
	3	3.65	1.98
	2.83	3.62	2.06
	1.45	3.74	7.75	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2
	2.93	3.58	2.08
	2.9	3.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (4.02)	3.67 ↓ (4.1)	3 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
38.4%

Draw
27.7%

Fleury 91
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.9%

22.4%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

22.8%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dijon's performance.

Fleury 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fleury 91 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fleury 91 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dijon - Fleury 91 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Wu Chengshu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 0.

Dijon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fleury has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dijon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fleury is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.3:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FCO Women
French Coupe de la Ligue Women
21.01.26	Dijon - Reims	4:0 ✺
French Division 1 Women
17.01.26	Montpellier - Dijon	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
Coupe De France Women
10.01.26	Dijon - Toulouse	4:1 ✺
French Division 1 Women
20.12.25	Saint-Étienne - Dijon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWW
- FC Fleury 91 Women
French Division 1 Women
17.01.26	Fleury 91 - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Le Havre - Fleury 91	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	OL Lyonnes - Fleury 91	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Fleury 91 - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Strasbourg - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Women
18.10.25	Dijon - Fleury 91	1:1
15.03.25	Fleury 91 - Dijon	0:0
28.09.24	Dijon - Fleury 91	2:2
Coupe De France Women
27.01.24	Fleury 91 - Dijon	4:1
French Division 1 Women
10.01.24	Dijon - Fleury 91	0:5
14.10.23	Fleury 91 - Dijon	2:1
01.04.23	Fleury 91 - Dijon	1:0

Dijon - Fleury 91