Match Info

Coupe de France Women - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Dijon		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	8	4.6	1.3
	7.1	4.55	1.33
	7.08	4.3	1.38
	6.07	4.15	1.47	Watch
	7.5	3.9	1.36
	7.8	4.2	1.36
	7	4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.22 ↑ (5.43)	4.24 ↑ (4.1)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
12.4%

Draw
21.2%

Paris Saint-Germain
66.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.9%

22.4%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21.7%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Dijon - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Talaslahti K. (G) 3. Siren E. 4. Haelewyn M. 28. Carage N. (C) 26. Taylor K. 16. Domin O. 8. Declercq L. 5. Grzybowska G. 11. Terchoun M. 10. Krezyman N. 27. Denizot J.	27. Earps M. (G) 5. De Almeida E. 29. Mbock G. 4. Dudek P. 12. Isabela 14. Groenen J. 6. Echegini J. 26. Ebayilin A. 10. Ajibade R. 39. Morissaint L. 20. Elimbi T.
Substitutes
20. Fontaine A. 6. Gay L. 9. Kopinska D. 7. Ndzana C. 22. Touiba C. 24. Vairon M. 30. Verdier C. (G)	11. Jourde F. 30. Kanjinga M. 7. Karchaoui S. 17. Leuchter R. 2. Samoura T. 33. Toussaint O. (G) 8. Yaya

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Isabela ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
24', Groenen J. ↓, Kanjinga M. ↑,
31', Ajibade R. 🟨,
34', Ebayilin A. 🟨,
44', Siren E. 🟨,
45+4', Grzybowska G. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Echegini J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Declercq L. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Grzybowska G. ↓, Gay L. ↑,
69', Denizot J. ↓, Vairon M. ↑,
78', Morissaint L. ↓, Karchaoui S. ↑,
78', Ebayilin A. ↓, Yaya ↑,
86', Gay L. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Echegini J. ⚽, Kanjinga M. (A),
89', Haelewyn M. ↓, Ndzana C. ↑,
89', Domin O. ↓, Fontaine A. ↑,
89', Terchoun M. ↓, Kopinska D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 4:50. (average 0.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2:25. (average 0.2:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FCO Women
French Division 1 Women
11.03.26	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fleury 91 - Dijon	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dijon - Nantes	1:1 ✺
French Coupe de la Ligue Women
04.02.26	Dijon - Nantes	2:1 ✺
French Division 1 Women
31.01.26	Strasbourg - Dijon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWW
- Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
French Coupe de la Ligue Women
14.03.26	OL Lyonnes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
French Division 1 Women
11.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
French Coupe de la Ligue Women
04.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Thonon Évian	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Women
14.01.26	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4
04.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon	1:0
01.03.25	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1
23.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon	6:1
31.03.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon	3:0
12.11.23	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:5
26.02.23	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4

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