Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 24

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)


	Dijon		Niort

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.25	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.43	3.06
	2.35	3.43	3.06
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.27	3.38	2.92	Watch
	2.19	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
40.8%

Draw
27.5%

Niort
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Dijon - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Niort will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 34. Ariss Z. 18. Drouhin A. 29. Etoga L. 20. Fdaouch Z. 33. Irie C. 23. Makutungu C. 25. Moco Z. 8. Schur K. 6. Souici R. 5. Temanfo A. (C)	1. Delecroix P. (G) 26. Benchama S. 2. Bernard Q. (C) 10. Dali Amar B. 14. Durivaux D. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 20. El Kaddouri B. 19. Elphege N. 9. Inchaud M. 18. Mbondo B. 17. Renel S.
Substitutes
21. Ben Fredj M. 17. Chahid Y. 13. Cisse S. 11. Nassi W. 28. Soumare B.	25. Anaba R. 8. Bentil G. 21. Bouekou N. 40. Mbeubap J. (G) 7. Zemzemi M.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 1.

Recent matches Dijon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Niort in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Niort could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dijon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dijon won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
01.03.24	Cholet - Dijon	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Dijon - Nancy	3:1 ✺
16.02.24	Villefranche - Dijon	4:0 ✺
09.02.24	Dijon - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Avranches - Dijon	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTW
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 3
01.03.24	Niort - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	3:2 ✺
23.02.24	Épinal - Niort	0:3 ✺
16.02.24	Cholet - Niort	1:1 ✺
12.02.24	Niort - Nancy	2:1 ✺
02.02.24	Villefranche - Niort	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
29.09.23	Niort - Dijon	3:0
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1
22.10.22	Niort - Dijon	2:1
30.04.22	Niort - Dijon	1:3
11.12.21	Dijon - Niort	2:2
08.01.16	Niort - Dijon	2:2
07.08.15	Dijon - Niort	3:0

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