Match Info

National - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Dijon		Paris 13 Atletico

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.6
	1.72	3.4	4.65
	1.77	3.68	5.04
	1.27	5.58	8.97	Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.5
	1.73	3.42	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.01)	3.64 ↑ (3.21)	5.08 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
54.7%

Draw
26.4%

Paris 13 Atletico
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dijon's performance.

Paris 13 Atletico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris 13 Atletico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris 13 Atletico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Dijon - Paris 13 Atletico Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dijon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Paris 13 Atletico (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dijon will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dijon (votes: 1 - 50%). Paris 13 Atletico (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 27. Moco Z. 6. Diouf W. 35. Diaby Malick A. 2. Diallo I. 14. Marie J. (C) 8. Bellon P. 18. Ndezi B. 10. Barka Y. 22. Domingues J. 17. Lembezat A.	1. Sanou G. (G) 17. Fage R. 10. Amara A. 7. Mehadji B. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 19. Traore C. 21. Ndiaye O. 6. Diarra M. (C) 27. Castro T. 24. Bernardino N. 28. Temanfo A.
Substitutes
4. Barreto M. 21. Chouchane S. 3. Khatir F. 29. Ntamack A. 20. Vargas-Rios H.	29. Donat N. 26. Gakpa M. 11. Lasme Y. 3. Oyongo A. 13. Sangare S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Diallo I. ⚽,
22', Fage R. (Pen),
42', Diarra M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Domingues J. (Pen),
45+1', Lembezat A. 🟨,
45+4', Marie J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Traore C. ↓, Oyongo A. ↑,
46', Fage R. ↓, Lasme Y. ↑,
46', Castro T. ↓, Gakpa M. ↑,
51', Ndezi B. 🟨,
52', Bernardino N. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Lembezat A. ⚽, Barka Y. (A),
61', Ndiaye O. ↓, Donat N. ↑,
64', Ndezi B. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
64', Lembezat A. ↓, Vargas-Rios H. ↑,
65', Barka Y. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
71', Marie J. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
73', Mehadji B. ↓, Sangare S. ↑,
81', Diallo I. ↓, Khatir F. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Lasme Y. ⚽, Amara A. (A),
85', 3 - 2, Lasme Y. ⚽, Amara A. (A),
90+2', 4 - 2, Domingues J. ⚽, Ntamack A. (A),

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Dijon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Dijon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
22.08.25	Stade Briochin - Dijon	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Dijon - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Orleans - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Dijon - Biesheim	3:1 ✺
18.07.25	Dijon - Fleury 91	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWWT
- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
22.08.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Fleury 91	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Versailles - Paris 13 Atletico	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Creteil - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Fleury 91	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
14.02.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Dijon	0:0
13.09.24	Dijon - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0

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