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Current Win Probability
Strasbourg 38%
Draw 26.7%
Dijon 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
27.6%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
28.5%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strasbourg's performance.
Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dijon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strasbourg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Dijon Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wahl M. (G) 4. Lourenco B. 11. Crnogorcevic A. 12. Beche A. 21. Bonet E. 6. Enge S. 10. Barrett A. 27. Hannequin L. 19. Konan I. 18. Chaney A. (C) 20. Hoeltzel M.
1. Talaslahti K. (G) 3. Siren E. 4. Haelewyn M. 28. Carage N. (C) 24. Vairon M. 8. Declercq L. 20. Fontaine A. 5. Grzybowska G. 6. Gay L. 10. Krezyman N. 15. Wu Chengshu
Substitutes
7. Agnew M. 23. Aigbogun E. 17. Bensalem C. 9. Diop M. 3. Kazadi G. 99. Le Page M. (G) 15. Mairot C.
27. Denizot J. 16. Domin O. 7. Ndzana C. 17. Simon K. 11. Terchoun M. 30. Verdier C. (G) 12. Wang Yanwen
Coaches
Nogueira V.
Picard P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Gay L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Beche A. 🟨,
60', Beche A. ↓, Kazadi G. ↑,
60', Barrett A. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Krezyman N. ⚽,
67', Konan I. ↓, Agnew M. ↑,
67', Hoeltzel M. ↓, Bensalem C. ↑,
72', Bensalem C. 🟨,
80', Wu Chengshu ↓, Simon K. ↑,
83', Haelewyn M. ↓, Domin O. ↑,
83', Crnogorcevic A. ↓, Aigbogun E. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Krezyman N. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).
Strasbourg is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dijon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Strasbourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dijon has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).