Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena (Tbilisi)

Referee: Sabotic J. (Lux)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Dila Gori		APOEL

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.7	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3	2.15
	3.3	2.95	2.15
	3.5	3.05	2.3
	3.85	2.86	2.3
	3.56	3.18	2.15	Watch
	3.55	3.15	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.2)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dila Gori
26.4%

Draw
31.3%

APOEL
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

29.9%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dila Gori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Dila Gori - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Dila will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). APOEL will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for APOEL: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kucherenko Y. (G) 30. Chiteishvili R. 26. Dzotsenidze T. 33. Etou R. 25. Wanderson 11. Parulava O. 5. Alef Santos (C) 23. Jean Victor 7. Gomis H. 22. Kovtalyuk M. 10. Gale T.	27. Belec V. (G) 14. Chebake I. 15. Crespo J. 70. Kostadinov G. 5. Dvali L. 16. Susic M. 28. Fetfatzidis G. 44. Sarfo K. 36. Marquinhos 11. Kvilitaia G. (C) 20. Dalcio
Substitutes
6. Andronikashvili A. 8. Asamoah K. 1. Chikashua G. (G) 2. Gaprindashvili G. 14. Kukhianidze S. 19. Mzwakali B. 16. Odikadze G. (G) 9. Sardalishvili M.	22. Christodoulou A. (G) 9. Eduardo W. 7. Efrem G. 25. Gavriel S. 4. Karamanolis A. 77. Ndongala D. 3. Petrovic R. 35. Polykarpou P. 18. Satsias G. 17. Theodorou D. 21. Tomane 10. Villafanez L.
Coaches
Demchenko A.	Sa Pinto R.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Two teams are playing changeable.

APOEL will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dila Gori
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Dila Gori - Vorskla Poltava	3:1 ✺
27.07.23	Vorskla Poltava - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
20.07.23	Dila Gori - DAC Dunajská Streda	2:0 ✺
13.07.23	DAC Dunajská Streda - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- APOEL
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Vojvodina - APOEL	1:2 ✺
27.07.23	APOEL - Vojvodina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.23	APOEL - Volos	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	APOEL - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Levski Sofia - APOEL	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLT

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