Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Chatzigeorgiou P. (Cyp)


	Omonia Aradippou		APOEL

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.36
	7.9	4.45	1.35
	8.36	4.43	1.4
	6.71	3.57	1.56	Watch
	8.42	4.16	1.41
	8	4.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.73 ↑ (5.37)	4.22 ↑ (3.75)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia Aradippou
12%

Draw
22%

APOEL
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

24.8%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

23.6%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omonia Aradippou's form might have worsened.

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting APOEL's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia Aradippou than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for APOEL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Omonia Aradippou - APOEL Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - APOEL (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: APOEL will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): APOEL will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. APOEL (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kostic I. (G) 22. Antoniou M. 34. Danny Henriques 8. Havelka N. (C) 7. Jorginho 10. Mouaddib J. 35. Polykarpou P. 9. Pontikos G. 3. Ring S. 14. van Mullem J. 90. Yansane M.	1. Gabriel Pereira (G) 31. Brorsson F. 30. Corbu M. 20. Dalcio 11. Gabriel Maioli 34. Laifis K. (C) 7. Meyer M. 14. Nanu 79. Sotiriou P. 3. Stafylidis K. 15. Tomas M.
Substitutes
. Birkheun 24. Cano L. 6. Edwards R. 44. Evripidou K. 73. Fernandez M. 70. Georgiou S. 4. Kallis C. 11. Mekkaoui K. 20. Olamilekan Fatai S. 91. Panteli K. 88. Papacharalampous G. (G) 33. Theocharous A.	2. Antoniou E. 36. Appiah C. 27. Belec V. (G) 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 29. Diego Rosa 9. Drazic S. 38. Geovane Meurer 89. Koutsakos N. 10. Marquinhos 8. Satsias G. 6. Vitor Meer 45. Yiannacou K.
Coaches
Satsias M.	Garcia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Sotiriou P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gabriel Maioli ↓, Geovane Meurer ↑,
55', Sotiriou P. ↓, Drazic S. ↑,
56', Yansane M. ↓, Olamilekan Fatai S. ↑,
56', Mouaddib J. ↓, Richard ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Drazic S. ⚽,
64', Corbu M. ↓, Koutsakos N. ↑,
64', Tomas M. ↓, Diego Rosa ↑,
64', Koutsakos N. 🟨,
70', 0 - 3, Geovane Meurer ⚽,
73', Pontikos G. ↓, Mekkaoui K. ↑,
73', Polykarpou P. ↓, Kallis C. ↑,
78', Dalcio ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
80', Antoniou M. ↓, Evripidou K. ↑,
80', Kallis C. 🟨,
80', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 4, Drazic S. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

Recent form of Omonia Aradippou has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

APOEL is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, APOEL is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Omonia Aradippou: Fomba B. (Inactive)

There will not play in APOEL: Diego Rosa (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in APOEL: Abagna D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Omonia Aradippou won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:12. (average 0:6).

Including home match between the teams, Omonia Aradippou won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
28.09.25	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Omonia Aradippou	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Omonia Aradippou - Paphos	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Krasava Ypsonas - Omonia Aradippou	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Omonia Aradippou - Aris Limassol	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Anorthosis - Omonia Aradippou	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLT
- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
28.09.25	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Akritas Chlorakas - APOEL	0:4 ✺
14.09.25	Enosis Neon Paralimni - APOEL	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	APOEL - Paphos	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Krasava Ypsonas - APOEL	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
26.01.25	APOEL - Omonia Aradippou	7:0
19.10.24	Omonia Aradippou - APOEL	0:5

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