Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 7

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Dimona		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.45	2.88
	1.75	3.58	4.12	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.09
	2	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.76)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)	3.34 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimona
45.9%

Draw
26.5%

Jerusalem FC
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dimona's form might have worsened.

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerusalem FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimona than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dimona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerusalem FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dimona - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Schwartz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Pras G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Dimona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jerusalem has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dimona is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dimona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Dimona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Dimona
Israeli State Cup
29.10.25	Dimona - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.10.25	Tzeirei Tira - Dimona	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Dimona - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Kfar Saba 1928 - Dimona	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Dimona - Maccabi Yavne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWTL
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli State Cup
30.10.25	Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.10.25	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	4:2 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Jerusalem FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
22.04.25	Jerusalem FC - Dimona	0:3
19.12.24	Dimona - Jerusalem FC	1:0

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