Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Adjarabet Arena (Batumi)

Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3


	Dinamo Batumi		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.9	1.93
	3.5	3.75	1.95
	3.8	3.8	1.96
	3.64	3.74	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.85
	3.79	3.91	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.49)	3.78 ↑ (3.67)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Batumi
25.9%

Draw
24.9%

Ludogorets Razgrad
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.4%

25.1%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

24.5%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Batumi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Batumi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	37.9%	58.6%

Dinamo Batumi - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Dinamo Batumi will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Silva R. (G) 35. Chiteishvili R. 23. Kobakhidze M. (C) 14. Kharabadze L. 25. Wanderson 17. Mamuchashvili V. 5. Alef Santos 29. Jean Victor 27. Gudushauri P. 11. Blesa J. 7. Gomis H.	1. Padt S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 4. Almeida D. 26. Sonko Sundberg N. 17. Son 30. Pedro Naressi 18. Chochev I. 6. Piotrowski J. (C) 37. Tekpetey B. 99. Rwan Seco 7. Rick
Substitutes
22. Inaishvili D. 31. Injgia R. 13. Kharatishvili L. (G) 2. Mali N. 19. Mara U. 9. Mujiri D. 40. Pachulia D. 6. Soilihi A. 21. Tambedou B. 1. Turmanidze M. (G)	39. Bonmann H. (G) 77. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K. 23. Duarte D. 67. Hristov D. (G) 15. Kurtulus E. 8. Nedelev T. 3. Nedyalkov A. 5. Terziev G. 10. Tissera M. 24. Verdon O. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Demchenko A.	Dermendzhiev G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Mamuchashvili V. ⚽,
45+4', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chiteishvili R. ↓, Mali N. ↑,
49', Tekpetey B. 🟨,
63', Jean Victor ↓, Mara U. ↑,
66', Rick 🟨,
68', Witry A. F. 🟨,
72', Blesa J. ↓, Tambedou B. ↑,
77', Rick ↓, Caio Vidal ↑,
83', Piotrowski J. 🟨,
84', Piotrowski J. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
90', Gudushauri P. ↓, Pachulia D. ↑,
90+3', Tekpetey B. ↓, Verdon O. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Dinamo Batumi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ludogorets is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ludogorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ludogorets have a series of home games.

In this match Ludogorets is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dinamo Batumi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Batumi
UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Batumi	3:1 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
03.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Iberia 1999	3:2 ✺
28.06.24	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:4 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.06.24	Samtredia - Dinamo Batumi	2:2 ✺
27.05.24	Dinamo Batumi - Dila Gori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Batumi	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Universitatea Craiova	4:1 ✺
26.06.24	St. Gallen - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
23.06.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slovan Bratislava	1:0 ✺
19.06.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Primorje	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Batumi	3:1

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