Match Info

efbet League - Championship Group - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Grebencharski M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport


	CSKA Sofia		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.62	3.15	2.52	Watch
	2.77	3.38	2.55
	2.71	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.45
	2.71	3.2	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.57)	3.22 ↑ (3.03)	2.51 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
34.4%

Draw
28.7%

Ludogorets Razgrad
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 14. Ivanov T. 32. Rodriguez F. 17. Martino A. 6. Jordao B. (C) 11. Brahimi M. 99. Eto'o J. 10. Ebong M. 77. Piedrahita A. 28. Pittas I.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 55. Nachmias I. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 27. Vinicius Nogueira 26. Kaloc F. 23. Duarte D. 37. Tekpetey B. 14. Stanic P. 77. Erick Marcus 18. Chochev I.
Substitutes
5. Dellova L. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 9. Godoy L. 4. Lapena A. 38. Leo Pereira 30. Panayotov P. 94. Solet I. 19. Turitsov I. 3. Yordanov A.	29. Bile E. 76. Dimitrov K. 1. Padt S. (G) 81. Penev G. 7. Salido Tajero A. 42. Shishkov S. 75. Syrov E. 5. Terziev G. 24. Verdon O.
Coaches
Yanev H.	Hogmo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Brahimi M. ⚽, Jordao B. (A),
23', Tekpetey B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Jordao B. 🟨,
60', Erick Marcus 🟨,
65', Pastor ↓, Dellova L. ↑,
65', Piedrahita A. 🟨,
69', Duarte D. ↓, Salido Tajero A. ↑,
73', Eto'o J. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
73', Piedrahita A. ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
76', Martino A. 🟨,
78', Bonmann H. 🟨,
79', Erick Marcus ↓, Verdon O. ↑,
85', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
90', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
90+2', Martino A. ↓, Turitsov I. ↑,
90+2', Brahimi M. ↓, Yordanov A. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1. Aggregate: 2-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia won 1.

Recent performances by CSKA Sofia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ludogorets's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA Sofia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Ludogorets: 30.04% CSKA Sofia: 23.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24:7	17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16:7	9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Cup
29.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
21.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Montana - CSKA Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWTW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Cup
29.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
21.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.04.26	Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
29.04.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0
21.04.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.03.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	3:0
05.10.25	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0
Bulgarian Cup
22.05.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.11.24	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2
21.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:0

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