Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Batumis Dinamos Satsvrtneli Baza (Batumi)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)


	Dinamo Batumi		Tirana

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.2
	1.73	3.55	4.75
	1.88	3.4	4.25
	1.91	3.39	4.2
	1.79	3.52	4.6
	1.9	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.25)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	4.33 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Batumi
51.2%

Draw
27.3%

Tirana
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Batumi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Batumi's performance.

Tirana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tirana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Batumi than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Batumi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tirana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	15.6%	6.2%

Dinamo Batumi - Tirana Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Dinamo Batumi will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). Tirana will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Batumi: 63.8% – 92.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Chichkan A. (G) 17. Mamuchashvili V. 23. Kobakhidze M. (C) 33. Balic S. 2. Giorbelidze G. 3. Teidi B. 5. Lytvynenko I. 20. Tsitaishvili G. 7. Zaria G. 24. Bidzinashvili I. 40. Flamarion	23. Selmani G. (G) 5. Najdovski F. (C) 28. Hoxhallari E. 17. Doka A. 18. Pergjoni F. 11. Latifi L. 10. Lushkja R. 8. Jonuzi F. 27. Hila A. 9. Hasani F. 7. Abazaj K.
Substitutes
15. Bagrationi M. 35. Chabradze G. 27. Gudushauri P. 8. Jakobsen A. 9. Kapanadze T. 4. Kapianidze L. 13. Kharatishvili L. (G) 1. Kvaskhvadze R. (G) 6. Mosiashvili T. 16. Paghava D. 18. Rekhviashvili G. 11. Vatsadze M.	77. Ahmetaj D. 22. Deliu A. 14. Haxhiu R. 19. Kaina 12. Kozi L. (G) 1. Lika I. (G) 44. Lulaj B. 3. Mici G. 30. Nikqi D. 21. Qefalija K.
Coaches
Geguchadze G.	Shehi O.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Tirana have a series of home games.

In this match Dinamo Batumi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dinamo Batumi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Batumi
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Tirana - Dinamo Batumi	1:1 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 penalties ✺
30.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi	0:1 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.06.23	Dinamo Batumi - Iberia 1999	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWT
- KF Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Tirana - Dinamo Batumi	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Tirana - Struga	2:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
01.06.23	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ET ✺
Albanian Super League
29.05.23	Erzeni - Tirana	1:2 ✺
25.05.23	Tirana - Bylis Ballsh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Tirana - Dinamo Batumi	1:1

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