Match Info

Druha Liga - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Dinaz Stadium (Demydiv)


	Dinaz Vyshgorod		Penuel

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.29	3.3	2.84
	2.32	3.35	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinaz Vyshgorod
39.9%

Draw
27.3%

Penuel
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

26.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinaz Vyshgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Penuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinaz Vyshgorod than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penuel than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Rudnytskyi I. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Bayruk N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 2 - 1, Rudnytskyi I. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Poltavets A. Y. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Penuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Penuel has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinaz Vyshgorod
Ukrainian Druha Liga
28.09.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Dinaz Vyshgorod	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	0:1 ✺
03.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa 2 - Dinaz Vyshgorod	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
25.08.25	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
16.08.25	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Kolos Kovalivka 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLL
- Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Ukrainian Druha Liga
07.09.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Penuel	5:0 ✺
03.09.25	Penuel - Oleksandriya 2	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Penuel - Chornomorets Odesa 2	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Penuel - Karpaty Lviv	0:8 ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
20.08.25	Penuel - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTLL

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