Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Dinaz Stadium (Demydiv)


	Dinaz Vyshgorod		UCSA

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.42
	5.6	4	1.49
	5.94	4.13	1.4
	6.37	4.22	1.44	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.5
	6.59	4.2	1.41
	5.6	4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↓ (7.26)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinaz Vyshgorod
15.1%

Draw
22.4%

UCSA
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

22.2%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

18.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinaz Vyshgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinaz Vyshgorod than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCSA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dinaz Vyshgorod - UCSA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Bandura O. (G) 8. Chertkoev I. 17. Kotukha I. 70. Morarenko S. 10. Novikov A. 7. Ogirya V. 97. Seytkhalilov S. 18. Solovyov A. 24. Voloshyn A. (C) 3. Vovkun A. 19. Yarmak Y.	70. Fedotov N. (G) 27. Debelko R. 29. Dedyaev A. 7. Goulart G. 20. Kharchenko M. 4. Makhnev D. (C) 15. Prykhodko N. 33. Selin Y. 90. Sytnykov M. 6. Yuvkhimets R. 18. Yuzefovych V.
Substitutes
4. Borysenko I. 69. Chernetskyi T. (G) 21. Kirichenko D. 13. Kovalenko I. 11. Kulyk D. 14. Latuta M. 6. Litvinov O. 74. Romanchuk E. 79. Shkurat Y. 27. Starenkiy S. 28. Vorona M.	12. Barantsov K. (G) 44. Demydenko A. 17. Khovayko K. 8. Kireev A. 2. Kononov M. 77. Myshenko B. 55. Sherstyanikh R. (G) 9. Vava 24. Zozulya O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Voloshyn A. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Debelko R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Seytkhalilov S. ↓, Kulyk D. ↑,
63', Morarenko S. ↓, Kovalenko I. ↑,
63', Prykhodko N. ↓, Vava ↑,
66', Vava 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
72', Yarmak Y. 🟨,
74', 0 - 2, Vava (Pen),
80', Goulart G. ↓, Myshenko B. ↑,
80', Yuvkhimets R. ↓, Kireev A. ↑,
81', Myshenko B. 🟨,
81', Chertkoev I. ↓, Kirichenko D. ↑,
82', Novikov A. ↓, Shkurat Y. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Dinaz is Persha Liga (Relegation Group )

The competitors look crappy now.

Dinaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UCSA is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dinaz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinaz Vyshgorod
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.10.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Dinaz Vyshgorod	3:0 ✺
14.10.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Poltava	3:1 ✺
10.10.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Kudrivka	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Dinaz Vyshgorod	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLWLT
- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.11.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - UCSA	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.24	UCSA - Oleksandriya	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.10.24	Kharkiv - UCSA	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Poltava - UCSA	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	UCSA - Kudrivka	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.09.24	UCSA - Dinaz Vyshgorod	5:0

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