Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)


	Kharkiv		UCSA

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.82	3.5	3.75
	1.81	3.44	3.58
	1.86	3.62	3.64	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.84	3.5	3.69
	1.82	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	3.66 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
49.5%

Draw
25.8%

UCSA
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

25.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

UCSA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Kharkiv - UCSA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 7. Ari Moura 9. Boryachuk A. 77. Bugay V. 11. Churko V. 32. Imerekov M. (C) 3. Kravets V. 6. Mafwenta G. 18. Pasich Y. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 10. Yurchenko V.	70. Fedotov N. (G) 73. Castro P. 29. Dedyaev A. 9. Geheiro W. 7. Goulart G. 20. Kharchenko M. 4. Makhnev D. 33. Selin Y. 90. Sytnykov M. 5. Yevdokymov A. (C) 24. Zozulya O.
Substitutes
20. Chervak V. 71. Humeniuk V. (G) 45. Kalitvintsev V. 26. Kogut I. 14. Lytvynenko I. 1. Mozil O. (G) 8. Obinaiah S. 24. Owusu R. 91. Panchenko M. 16. Smitiukh O. 31. Sten S.	12. Barantsov K. (G) 27. Debelko R. 44. Demydenko A. 17. Khovayko K. 8. Kireev A. 15. Prykhodko N. 55. Sherstyanikh R. (G) 6. Yuvkhimets R. 18. Yuzefovych V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Kravets V. 🟨,
31', Selin Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Ari Moura ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

UCSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Metalist 1925 have a series of home games.

In this match Metalist 1925 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metalist 1925 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.10.24	Kharkiv - Kremin Kremenchuk	4:0 ✺
03.10.24	Kharkiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Kudrivka - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLTW
- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.10.24	Poltava - UCSA	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	UCSA - Kudrivka	3:4 ✺
29.09.24	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	1:2 ✺
16.09.24	UCSA - Dinaz Vyshgorod	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.09.24	UCSA - Kharkiv	0:0

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