Match Info

League One - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)


	Dingnan United		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	3.05	2.82
	2.52	3.25	2.9
	2.25	3.26	3.14	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.63
	2.51	3.03	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.81)	3.1 ↑ (2.91)	2.88 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
38.4%

Draw
29.7%

Shaanxi Union
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

30.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dingnan United's performance.

Shaanxi Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dingnan United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dingnan United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shaanxi Union will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Du Jia (G) 28. Cheng Yetong 27. Wang Sihan 4. Daciel 9. Ma Chenghao 10. Tang Shi 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 18. Fan Bojian (C) 34. Hao Yucheng 11. Erikys 19. Han Yuchen	39. He Lipan (G) 38. Wang Jia'nan 24. Liang Shaowen 5. Ma Sheng 29. Mi Haolun (C) 25. Cao Kang 7. Zhong Wen 21. Wang Shijie 33. Tan Kaiyuan 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Selmani A.
Substitutes
35. Ependi Nizamdin 25. Gao J. 39. Huang Jiale 20. Jiang Yixiang 7. Palacios M. 37. Petrov M. 30. Ren Zening 15. Wu Mingyu 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 8. Zhang Zimin	35. Chen Y. 10. El Azrak R. 15. Guo Wuyue 31. Luan Yi (G) 14. Meng Fanning 18. Tang Tianyi 6. Tursunali Nureli 4. Wang Weipu 36. Yan Yu
Coaches
Mao Biao	Fraser H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Erikys ⚽, Daciel (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Selmani A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Han Yuchen ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
46', Cheng Yetong ↓, Ependi Nizamdin ↑,
66', Fan Bojian ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
69', Zhong Wen ↓, Guo Wuyue ↑,
70', Wang Shijie ↓, El Azrak R. ↑,
76', Wang Sihan ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
84', Tan Kaiyuan ↓, Tang Tianyi ↑,
88', Tang Shi ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
90+4', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Yan Yu ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

Dingnan United is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shaanxi Union has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dingnan United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dingnan United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shaanxi Union	25	11	6	8	42:27	15	39
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dingnan United - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTTT
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Yanbian Longding - Shaanxi Union	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Shaanxi Union - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Shaanxi Union - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Shaanxi Union	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
20.07.25	Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union	2:0
30.03.25	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	3:1

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