Match Info

Date: 21 December 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Dire Dawa City		Addis Ababa Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.6
	2.5	2.75	2.87
	2.55	2.7	2.7
	2.61	2.55	2.86
	2.87	2.75	2.5
	2.45	2.97	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.44)	2.75 ↓ (2.81)	2.74 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
34.6%

Draw
32.7%

Addis Ababa Ketema
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

23.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Addis Ababa Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dire Dawa City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Addis Ababa Ketema than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Addis Ababa Ketema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dire Dawa City - Addis Ababa Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Dire Dawa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Addis Ababa Ketema is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Addis Ababa Ketema have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
16.12.21	Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City	3:2 ✺
12.12.21	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:2 ✺
03.12.21	Sebeta City - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Dire Dawa City - Wolkite Kenema	0:1 ✺
23.11.21	Jimma Aba Jifar - Dire Dawa City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLW
- Addis Ababa Ketema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
16.12.21	Addis Ababa Ketema - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
09.12.21	Addis Ababa Ketema - Wolkite Kenema	0:1 ✺
03.12.21	Hadiya Hossana - Addis Ababa Ketema	0:1 ✺
22.11.21	Addis Ababa Ketema - Fasil Kenema	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Addis Ababa Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TLWWL

Dire Dawa City - Addis Ababa Ketema

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City - Addis Ababa Ketema Predictions

Preview

Form

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