Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Hadiya Hossana		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	4.10	2.80	1.93
	4.05	2.88	1.95
	4.37	3.04	1.93
	4.20	2.95	1.91	Watch
	4.00	2.80	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.33)	2.89 ↑ (2.81)	1.93 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hadiya Hossana
21.9%

Draw
31.3%

Dire Dawa City
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

32.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hadiya Hossana's form might have worsened.

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dire Dawa City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hadiya Hossana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dire Dawa City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Beyene B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 2.

Hadiya Hossana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dire Dawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dire Dawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dire Dawa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hadiya Hossana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Hadiya Hossana - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.13%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
22.06.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Hadiya Hossana - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
29.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTTW
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
20.06.26	Dire Dawa City - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Saint George	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Ethio Electric - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Dire Dawa City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
31.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Hadiya Hossana	2:0
08.04.25	Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City	1:1
06.11.24	Dire Dawa City - Hadiya Hossana	0:1
21.06.24	Dire Dawa City - Hadiya Hossana	1:3
02.02.24	Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City	0:0
10.04.23	Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City	1:2
15.10.22	Dire Dawa City - Hadiya Hossana	1:3

Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide