Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 9

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Djoliba		Bakaridjan

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.1	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.35	5.53	Watch
	1.57	3.2	5.75
	1.68	3.54	5.2	Watch
	1.6	3.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)	3.3 ↓ (3.96)	5.46 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djoliba
55.9%

Draw
27.5%

Bakaridjan
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

23.2%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.8%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djoliba's form might have worsened.

Bakaridjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Djoliba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakaridjan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Djoliba - Bakaridjan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djoliba won 2.

Djoliba is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bakaridjan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Djoliba is the clear favorite.

We predict that Djoliba will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Djoliba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Djoliba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	29	59
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
10.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Djoliba - Mali Coura	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bougouni - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Djoliba - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Djoliba - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT
- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
11.01.26	Bakaridjan - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Korofina - Bakaridjan	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bakaridjan - Real Bamako	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Diarra - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bakaridjan - Binga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
27.03.25	Bakaridjan - Djoliba	0:0
05.02.25	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	0:0
05.05.24	Bakaridjan - Djoliba	1:2
22.12.23	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	0:1
26.12.22	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	2:0
01.06.21	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	1:0
15.01.20	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	0:0

Djoliba - Bakaridjan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide