Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Round 5

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako)

Referee: Atcho P. (Gab)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Mali	ORTM
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport


	Djoliba		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	5.5	2.9	1.7	Watch
	4.8	2.95	1.73
	5.5	3.25	1.7	Watch
	5.37	3.26	1.71	Watch
	5	3	1.8
	5.4	3.24	1.7	Watch
	5.5	3.25	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (3.8)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Djoliba
17.3%

Draw
29.4%

Espérance ST
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djoliba's form might have worsened.

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Djoliba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Djoliba - Espérance ST Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Djoliba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espérance ST: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koita Y. (G) 3. Keita A. 26. Sogoba D. 23. Sanogo A. 13. Diallo O. 8. Mariko A. 4. Mariko A. 14. Araba Dakouo F. 12. Soumare A. 15. Doumbia A. 9. Simpara Z.	32. Ben Said B. (G) 11. Belaili Y. 21. Konate A. 24. Mokwana E. 15. Tougai M. 2. Ben Ali M. 20. Ben Hamida M. 10. Yan Sasse 6. Jelassi H. 8. Tka H. 23. Azouni L.
Substitutes
31. Diarra B. 19. Kane B. 22. Kone M. 30. Kouma B. (G) 18. Sidibe A. 27. Simpara Y. 24. Sinio A. 28. Tape A. 33. Wague A.	18. Aholou R. 22. Ben M. A. 99. Bouzaiene E. 19. Jabri A. 98. Kada Z. 30. Maacha K. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 14. Ogbelu O. 3. Smiri K.
Coaches
Traore D.	Reghecampf L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Belaili Y. 🟨,
29', Azouni L. 🟨,
38', Mokwana E. 🟨,
45+1', Diallo O. 🟨,
45+3', Araba Dakouo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ben Ali M. ↓, Ogbelu O. ↑,
59', Azouni L. ↓, Aholou R. ↑,
62', Araba Dakouo F. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
62', Doumbia A. ↓, Simpara Y. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Mokwana E. ⚽, Ben Hamida M. (A),
74', Yan Sasse ↓, Ben M. A. ↑,
78', Keita A. 🟨,
80', Simpara Z. ↓, Kane B. ↑,
80', Keita A. ↓, Wague A. ↑,
88', Mokwana E. ↓, Maacha K. ↑,
88', Konate A. ↓, Chaaleli G. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Djoliba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Espérance ST is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Djoliba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Espérance ST is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Djoliba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djoliba AC
CAF Champions League
05.01.25	Sagrada Esperança - Djoliba	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Djoliba - Sagrada Esperança	0:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
11.12.24	USFAS Bamako - Djoliba	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
08.12.24	Djoliba - Pyramids	0:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
03.12.24	Étoiles du Mandé - Djoliba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTW
- Espérance ST
CAF Champions League
05.01.25	Pyramids - Espérance ST	2:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
29.12.24	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	0:1 ✺
25.12.24	EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
22.12.24	Espérance ST - Club Africain	2:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.12.24	Espérance ST - Pyramids	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
26.11.24	Espérance ST - Djoliba	4:0

Djoliba - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide