The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Djurgården 27.9%
Draw 26.1%
AIK 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
27.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
27.1%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djurgården's form might have worsened.
AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AIK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AIK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Djurgården - AIK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Ohman M. (G) 10. Gros M. 24. Svendsen S. 4. Ruuskanen N. 18. Westlund E. 8. Pelgander E. 11. Asland T. (C) 7. Ulenius O. 25. Bang L. 32. Bartholdson F. 23. Watanabe U.
21. Dannback E. (G) 22. Oscarsson A. 4. Nordin J. (C) 23. Reidy E. 26. Ragnarsson J. 6. Saving F. 5. Tabata H. 13. Famili D. 10. Selin N. 15. Halldorsdottir A. 29. Plan M.
Substitutes
19. Duras L. 17. Eriksson S. 3. Heinrichs S. 22. Hirosawa M. 2. Holmqvist E. 40. Redtzer E. (G) 9. Renmark J. 21. Staffansson M. 5. Svensson A.
18. Agnekil E. (G) 30. Ahlin F. 11. Bjornberg I. 20. Bogucka A. 28. Cendrowska Z. 8. Hashemi D. 25. Lindstedt O. 3. Mattsson T.
Coaches
Johansson A.
Syberyjski L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Plan M. ⚽, Selin N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gros M. ↓, Holmqvist E. ↑,
46', Bang L. ↓, Renmark J. ↑,
56', Plan M. 🟨,
59', Bartholdson F. ↓, Hirosawa M. ↑,
70', Ragnarsson J. ↓, Lindstedt O. ↑,
70', Plan M. ↓, Bjornberg I. ↑,
73', Westlund E. ↓, Duras L. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Hirosawa M. ⚽, Asland T. (A),
76', Famili D. ↓, Hashemi D. ↑,
81', Ulenius O. ↓, Svensson A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Renmark J. ⚽, Watanabe U. (A),
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djurgården won 3.
Djurgården has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
AIK is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
AIK may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AIK holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Djurgården has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:21 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Djurgården against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.7:1.1 per game).