Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Dnipro-Arena (Dnipro)

Referee: Paskhal I. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Unian TV


	Dnipro-1		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	6
	1.58	3.94	6.13
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.6	3.8	5.8	Watch
	1.59	3.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.78)	3.76 ↑ (3.57)	5.77 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
59%

Draw
24.8%

Kolos Kovalivka
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

28.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dnipro-1's performance.

Kolos Kovalivka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Dnipro 1 - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volynets Y. (G) 42. Pasich Y. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 30. Kravets V. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 34. Tanchyk V. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 25. Kogut I. 9. Gutsulyak O.	23. Fesyun K. (G) 27. Luchkevych V. 35. Zolotov N. 5. Bondarenko V. 15. Chornomorets O. 9. Tsurikov A. 14. Milko V. (C) 7. Demchenko O. 8. Veleten V. 17. Salabay A. 19. Diego Carioca
Substitutes
7. Filippov O. 6. Gorin O. 26. Kapliyenko O. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 31. Kivinda D. 33. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 17. Lednev B. 28. Marquinhos 11. Miroshnichenko D. 4. Purita E.	22. Bezborodko D. 90. Bogdanov A. 50. Bolbat S. 2. Cucos C. 3. Goncharenko R. 1. Gorokh V. (G) 91. Gusol A. 48. Kryvoruchko O. 47. Myakushko S. 20. Mysak R. (G) 32. Popov K. 29. Yemets V.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Vyshnyak Y.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 3.

Dnipro-1 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kolos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Dnipro-1 have a series of home games.

In this match Dnipro-1 is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnipro-1 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
03.09.23	Dnipro-1 - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Dnipro-1 - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ET ✺
23.08.23	Spartak Trnava - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
20.08.23	Dnipro-1 - Obolon	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	Dnipro-1 - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLT
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
03.09.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Kryvbas	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2 ET ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
19.08.23	Rukh Lviv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
19.05.23	Dnipro-1 - Kolos Kovalivka	2:1
09.11.22	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	1:3
16.10.21	Dnipro-1 - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0
18.04.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	1:1
06.11.20	Dnipro-1 - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2
25.07.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	4:1
07.12.19	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	4:0

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