Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)

Referee: Kozyryatskiy M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kolos Kovalivka		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.05	1.5
	6.56	4.3	1.5
	6.46	4.38	1.51	Watch
	6	4	1.5
	5.99	4.16	1.51	Watch
	6	4	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↓ (7.67)	4.15 ↓ (4.51)	1.5 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolos Kovalivka
15.2%

Draw
22.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

21%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

20.2%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pakholyuk I. (G) 77. Ponedelnik A. 6. Burda M. 5. Bondarenko V. (C) 9. Tsurikov A. 16. Krasniqi I. 55. Elias 7. Demchenko O. 14. Kane I. 70. Klymchuk Y. 17. Salabay A.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 8. Kryskiv D. 27. Ocheretko O. 6. Marlon Gomes 7. Eguinaldo 19. Kaua Elias 11. Newerton
Substitutes
19. Alefirenko D. 90. Bezruchuk O. 8. Chelyadin A. 47. Denisenko D. 15. Gusol A. 1. Matsapura D. (G) 27. Oyewusi M. 2. Rukhadze Z. 44. Shershen V. 11. Tretyakov M.	16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 74. Faryna M. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 14. Isaque Silva 26. Konoplya Y. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 29. Nazaryna Y. 10. Pedrinho 9. Shved M.
Coaches
Kostyshyn R.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Kostyshyn R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ocheretko O. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
65', Kryskiv D. 🟨,
66', Klymchuk Y. ↓, Oyewusi M. ↑,
76', Kane I. ↓, Alefirenko D. ↑,
81', Eguinaldo ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
81', Marlon Gomes ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
84', Salabay A. 🟨,
90', Demchenko O. ↓, Chelyadin A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 1.

Kolos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shakhtar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kolos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhtar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:35. (average 0.9:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kolos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.67%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
28.11.25	Obolon - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Kudrivka - Kolos Kovalivka	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWTT
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
01.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:6 ✺
09.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Poltava	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Breiðablik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
19.04.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:4
18.10.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1
08.03.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	3:2
27.08.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2
28.04.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3
19.10.22	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	3:0
07.11.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3

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