Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 6

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Mogilev)

Referee: Ananyev S. (Blr)


	Dnyapro Mogilev		Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.4	3.2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.55	3.85	6.16	Watch
	1.84	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.92)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	4.14 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnyapro Mogilev
51.6%

Draw
26.1%

Baranovichi
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

26.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dnyapro Mogilev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ignatiev V. (G) 23. Dunaev A. 89. Harutyunyan V. 21. Karpitskiy E. 15. Kasarab M. 88. Kirilenko K. 11. Martynov T. 17. Potapenko A. 8. Rusak S. (C) 18. Shemruk A. 10. Zabelin K.	12. Shapko D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 8. Balbukh V. 19. Bruy A. 2. Kendysh S. 9. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 33. Muzychenko K. 34. Petrenko A. 11. Ryabykh N. 3. Shcherbakov K.
Substitutes
14. Burkhin E. 12. Bylinkin N. 29. Denisyuk A. 33. Gitselev Z. 77. Gushchenko D. (G) 55. Krasnov N. 38. Litskevich M. 27. Piletskiy R. 99. Stepanenko V. 7. Tkachev T.	45. Altaev A. 20. Gusev B. 29. Penchuk S. 7. Pukhov T. 27. Sarkisyan T. 26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M. 23. Vasilenko V. 41. Volkovets D.
Coaches
Suvorov S.	Kirenkin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Kendysh S. ↓, Svidinskiy M. ↑,
45+1', Kirilenko K. 🟨,
45+3', Shcherbakov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Karpitskiy E. ↓, Denisyuk A. ↑,
66', Shcherbakov K. ↓, Vasilenko V. ↑,
71', Zabelin K. ↓, Piletskiy R. ↑,
71', Kirilenko K. ↓, Stepanenko V. ↑,
76', Petrenko A. ↓, Sarkisyan T. ↑,
76', Lapun E. ↓, Pukhov T. ↑,
78', Rusak S. 🟨,
83', Harutyunyan V. ↓, Litskevich M. ↑,
83', Martynov T. ↓, Krasnov N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 2.

Dnyapro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baranovichi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dnyapro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dnyapro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Baranovici	23	6	7	10	24:38	-14	25
15	Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20:36	-16	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.04.26	Isloch Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Belshina - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Slavia Mozyr	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Naftan - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWLT
- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.04.26	Baranovichi - Dinamo Minsk	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Dinamo Brest - Baranovichi	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	0:4 ✺
05.04.26	BATE Borisov - Baranovichi	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Isloch Minsk - Baranovichi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	0:3
27.04.25	Baranovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1
15.10.23	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	1:0
10.06.23	Baranovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:4
26.09.21	Baranovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:2
11.07.21	Baranovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:0
24.04.21	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	1:0

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