Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Round 10

Date: 27 May 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Mogilev)

Referee: Stetsurin S. (Blr)


	Dnyapro Mogilev		Gomel

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.22	3.62	1.81
	4.22	3.62	1.81
	4	3.5	1.75
	4.3	3.58	1.85	Watch
	4	3.45	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.36)	3.53 ↑ (3.36)	1.8 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnyapro Mogilev
22.4%

Draw
26.2%

Gomel
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnyapro Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dnyapro Mogilev's form might have worsened.

Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gomel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dnyapro Mogilev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Dnyapro Mogilev - Gomel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gomel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Generalov E. (G) 16. Aliseyko D. 88. Yurkevich F. 23. Dunaev A. 91. Artyukh M. 21. Vershinin G. 55. Krasnov N. 29. Amian B. 8. Vigovsky D. 5. Dongo C. 7. Klochkov Y. (C)	44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 91. Nazarenko P. 16. Zayats I. 72. Rashchenya I. (C) 17. Yatskevich V. 2. Rylach A. 54. Akin F. 21. Antilevskiy A. 77. Nurymbet A. 11. Effaghe R. 9. Grishchenko I.
Substitutes
10. Aleksandrovich A. 77. Ankudinov D. 17. Glebko S. 33. Gurbanov M. 69. Kapov K. 9. Kargbo Jr. I. 15. Modulev M. 99. Ogbole M. 1. Shapko D. (G)	8. Barsukov E. 14. Davyskiba R. 23. Drozdov M. 87. Kovalyov O. (G) 20. Kozlovskiy D. 3. Matveychik S. 7. Pukhov T. 30. Troyakov E.
Coaches
Gerashchenko V.	Gorovtsov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Akin F. ↓, Davyskiba R. ↑,
32', Krasnov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aliseyko D. ↓, Aleksandrovich A. ↑,
46', Antilevskiy A. ↓, Barsukov E. ↑,
64', Dongo C. ↓, Kargbo Jr. I. ↑,
67', Nurymbet A. ↓, Kozlovskiy D. ↑,
70', Krasnov N. ↓, Glebko S. ↑,
70', Amian B. ↓, Ankudinov D. ↑,
74', Artyukh M. ↓, Kapov K. ↑,
86', Grishchenko I. ↓, Pukhov T. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Effaghe R. ⚽,
90+5', Klochkov Y. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnyapro won 0.

Dnyapro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gomel is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gomel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Dnyapro won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnyapro won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.05.24	Naftan - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	1:1 ✺
01.05.24	Smorgon - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	BATE Borisov - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Neman Grodno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTTL
- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.05.24	Gomel - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Dinamo Brest - Gomel	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Naftan - Gomel	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Gomel - Minsk	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Smorgon - Gomel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
28.08.22	Dnyapro Mogilev - Gomel	0:4
17.04.22	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1
Club Friendly
26.01.22	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	4:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.10.19	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:0
24.05.19	Dnyapro Mogilev - Gomel	1:1
21.07.18	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:0
06.04.18	Dnyapro Mogilev - Gomel	1:0

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