Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Dob		Ilirija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.55
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.41	3.4	2.71
	2.32	3.35	2.7
	2.36	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	2.65 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dob
38.6%

Draw
27.3%

Ilirija Ljubljana
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dob has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dob than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Dob - Ilirija Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).

Dob is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ilirija is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dob could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dob won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dob won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dob
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.09.22	Primorje - Dob	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Dob - Bilje	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Dob - Rudar Velenje	0:4 ✺
21.08.22	Jadran Dekani - Dob	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Dob - Beltinci	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTT
- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
24.09.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Beltinci - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Fužinar Ravne - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:4 ✺
28.08.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Triglav	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
23.04.22	Dob - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:2
10.10.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dob	1:0
18.05.19	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dob	2:0
03.11.18	Dob - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:1
19.05.18	Dob - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:0

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