Match Info

3. SNL - East - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Dobrovce		Šmartno

	1	X	2
	4.42	4.51	1.51
	15.00	8.31	1.04	Watch
	4.68	4.26	1.61
	4	3.75	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.03 ↑ (3.75)	5.21 ↑ (3.75)	1.46 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dobrovce
14%

Draw
18.9%

Šmartno
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dobrovce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dobrovce's form might have worsened.

Šmartno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Šmartno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dobrovce than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dobrovce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šmartno than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Šmartno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dobrovce - Šmartno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dobrovce won 4.

Recent form of Dobrovce has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Šmartno's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Šmartno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Šmartno is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dobrovce won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dobrovce won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dobrovce
Slovenian 3 SNL East
04.10.25	Brežice - Dobrovce	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Dobrovce - Zavrč	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Dobrovce - Podvinci	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Fužinar Ravne - Dobrovce	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Dobrovce - Videm	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWTL
- NK Šmartno
Slovenian 3 SNL East
21.09.25	Šmartno - Ljutomer	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Hajdina - Šmartno	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Šmartno - Korotan Prevalje	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Šmartno - Čarda Martjanci	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Brežice - Šmartno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 3 SNL East
16.11.24	Dobrovce - Šmartno	4:1
18.08.24	Šmartno - Dobrovce	3:0
30.03.24	Dobrovce - Šmartno	2:1
17.09.23	Šmartno - Dobrovce	1:2
16.04.23	Šmartno - Dobrovce	0:2
24.09.22	Dobrovce - Šmartno	4:1
29.04.22	Šmartno - Dobrovce	3:3

Dobrovce - Šmartno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide