Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Domagnano		Tre Penne

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.55	1.52
	5.98	3.64	1.48
	6.22	3.72	1.52	Watch
	6	3.3	1.53
	6.53	3.66	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↓ (6.9)	3.57 ↓ (4.09)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Domagnano
14.7%

Draw
25.3%

Tre Penne
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.5%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

21.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Domagnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tre Penne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tre Penne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Domagnano - Tre Penne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Bonetti M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 1 - 1, Badalassi I. ⚽, Errico S. (A),
80', 1 - 2, Maggioli M. (Own goal),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 1.

Domagnano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tre Penne is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Domagnano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Domagnano has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tre Penne is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Domagnano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.03.26	Cailungo - Domagnano	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Domagnano - Murata	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Domagnano	1:4 ✺
11.02.26	Folgore - Domagnano	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Tre Fiori - Domagnano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.02.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Tre Fiori - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	San Giovanni - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.11.25	Tre Penne - Domagnano	0:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	Domagnano - Tre Penne	2:2
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.02.25	Tre Penne - Domagnano	3:1
10.03.24	Tre Penne - Domagnano	0:2
25.11.23	Domagnano - Tre Penne	0:0
04.02.23	Domagnano - Tre Penne	1:2
18.09.22	Tre Penne - Domagnano	2:0

Domagnano - Tre Penne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide