The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Domagnano 20.5%
Draw 25%
Tre Penne 54.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.2%
22.5%
61.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
22.6%
60.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Domagnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Tre Penne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tre Penne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tre Penne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Domagnano - Tre Penne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
79', 0 - 1, Ruiz B. ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Pieri R. ⚽, Pastorelli L. (A),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0.
Domagnano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tre Penne is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
In this matchup, Tre Penne is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Domagnano has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:29 (averaging 0.9:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Domagnano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:13 goals (averaging 1.2:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Tre Penne
6
5
1
0
11:2
9
16
9
Domagnano
6
2
1
3
9:10
-1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Tre Penne - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 61.3%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
San Marino
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