Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Tre Penne		Juvenes-Dogana

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.30	5.25
	1.55	3.45	5.1	Watch
	1.67	3.52	4.39
	1.65	3.62	4.88	Watch
	1.65	3.45	4.3
	1.64	3.86	4.96
	1.57	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.39)	3.53 ↓ (4.5)	4.84 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Penne
55.8%

Draw
25.6%

Juvenes-Dogana
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Penne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tre Penne's form might have worsened.

Juvenes-Dogana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Tre Penne - Juvenes Dogana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Pieri R. ⚽, Casadio P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', Giovagnoli F. 🟥,
88', 2 - 0, Ceccaroli L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 2.

Tre Penne has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Juvenes-Dogana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tre Penne enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tre Penne in today's match, at odds of 1.33.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Tre Penne has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:21 (averaging 2.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tre Penne against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 26:12 goals (averaging 2.9:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
12.09.26	Cailungo - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
08.09.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
04.09.26	Tre Penne - Cosmos	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	San Giovanni - Tre Penne	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Fiorentino - Tre Penne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
13.09.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Folgore	1:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
08.09.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.09.26	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Faetano	4:0 ✺
06.05.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Virtus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Coppa Titano
08.09.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.02.26	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	3:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
10.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:0
26.11.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.11.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:1
26.04.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	4:2
11.01.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:2

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