Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Don Benito		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.5
	2.75	2.95	2.65
	2.83	2.75	2.71
	2.79	2.79	2.69
	2.78	2.93	2.6
	2.8	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.21)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)	2.61 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
33%

Draw
31.9%

Águilas
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

29.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Chit O. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Castedo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 1, Tapia J. ⚽,

Preview

Don Benito is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Águilas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Don Benito have a series of guest games.

Recently Águilas have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.09.24	Orihuela - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Don Benito - Cadiz CF B	3:3 ✺
01.09.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Don Benito	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Llerenense - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Cacereño - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLW
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.09.24	Águilas - Minera	4:1 ✺
08.09.24	San Fernando - Águilas	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Águilas - Almeria B	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.24	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	4:0 ✺
10.08.24	Águilas - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.05.22	Don Benito - Águilas	1:0 penalties

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