Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, WebDirecto


	Don Benito		Linense

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.8	2.9
	2.4	2.8	3.05
	2.56	2.85	3.06
	2.44	2.83	3.08	Watch
	2.49	2.79	3.1
	2.4	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.15)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	3.04 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
37.4%

Draw
32.5%

Linense
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Linense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Don Benito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Don Benito - Linense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Harper J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Harper J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Don Benito has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Linense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Don Benito will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 2.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.25	Águilas - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Don Benito - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Cadiz CF B - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Don Benito - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Don Benito - Estepona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.25	Linense - Minera	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	San Fernando - Linense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Linense - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Antoniano - Linense	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	La Unión - Linense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.09.24	Linense - Don Benito	2:3
02.02.20	Don Benito - Linense	2:2
15.09.19	Linense - Don Benito	1:0
12.05.19	Linense - Don Benito	1:4
22.12.18	Don Benito - Linense	2:2

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