Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Don Benito		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.4	2.9	2.95
	2.42	3.01	3.17
	2.43	2.93	2.98
	2.4	2.88	3.16
	2.4	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	2.92 ↓ (3.04)	3.02 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
38.3%

Draw
31.4%

Estepona
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Don Benito - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Mesa R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Chit O. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Mirapeix D. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Don Benito is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estepona has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.12.24	UCAM Murcia - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Don Benito - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Don Benito - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Minera - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Don Benito - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLW
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.12.24	Estepona - Minera	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	San Fernando - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Estepona - Leganés	2:3 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.24	Estepona - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Antoniano - Estepona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.02.23	Estepona - Don Benito	0:0
18.09.22	Don Benito - Estepona	0:2

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