Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 9

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Don Álvaro		Moralo

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.19	3.08	2.14
	3.26	3.18	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (4.85)	3.12 ↓ (3.53)	2.07 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
27.7%

Draw
28.9%

Moralo
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

24.3%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Don Álvaro's performance.

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moralo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Álvaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moralo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Álvaro - Moralo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Moralo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.10.23	Arroyo - Don Álvaro	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Don Álvaro - Olivenza	1:1 ✺
12.10.23	Jerez - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Don Álvaro - Montehermoso	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Don Álvaro - Trujillo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLTW
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.10.23	Moralo - Racing Valverdeño	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Azuaga - Moralo	0:1 ✺
12.10.23	Moralo - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Fuente de Cantos - Moralo	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Diocesano - Moralo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.02.23	Moralo - Don Álvaro	4:0
23.10.22	Don Álvaro - Moralo	0:2
03.04.22	Moralo - Don Álvaro	2:0
28.11.21	Don Álvaro - Moralo	0:0

Don Álvaro - Moralo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide