Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 17 May 2026, Sunday
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Azuaga |
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Moralo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.25 |
3 |
2.87 |
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2.35 |
2.72 |
3.1 |
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2.4 |
2.61 |
3.27 |
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8.90 |
4.48 |
1.34 |
 Watch |
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2.4 |
2.9 |
2.88 |
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2.37 |
2.68 |
3.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.16) |
3.07 ↓
(3.17) |
2.79 ↓
(3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Azuaga
29.8% | Draw
33.5% | Moralo
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azuaga's form might have worsened.Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moralo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azuaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moralo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Azuaga - Moralo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Goodluck E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 0.Azuaga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Moralo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Azuaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.6:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Azuaga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 19.12.25 | Azuaga - Moralo | 1:2 | | 09.02.25 | Azuaga - Moralo | 1:1 | | 29.09.24 | Moralo - Azuaga | 0:0 | | 03.03.24 | Moralo - Azuaga | 1:0 | | 15.10.23 | Azuaga - Moralo | 0:1 | | 21.05.23 | Azuaga - Moralo | 1:2 | | 14.05.23 | Moralo - Azuaga | 0:2 |
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