Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Donaustauf		ATSV Erlangen

	1	X	2
	5.31	5.27	1.42
	5.31	5.27	1.43
	7.11	5.17	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↑ (5.19)	5.24 ↑ (4.41)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donaustauf
15.7%

Draw
17.7%

ATSV Erlangen
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

21%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

18.5%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donaustauf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ATSV Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ATSV Erlangen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donaustauf than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ATSV Erlangen than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ATSV Erlangen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Kaja E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Donaustauf is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches ATSV Erlangen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ATSV Erlangen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ATSV Erlangen is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Donaustauf won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Donaustauf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Donaustauf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
20.04.24	Donaustauf - Neumarkt	0:5 ✺
16.04.24	Donaustauf - Jahn Regensburg II	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Abtswind - Donaustauf	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Donaustauf - Coburg	4:1 ✺
03.04.24	Fortuna Regensburg - Donaustauf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL
- ATSV Erlangen
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
19.04.24	ATSV Erlangen - Neudrossenfeld	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Neumarkt - ATSV Erlangen	4:0 ✺
09.04.24	Bayern Hof - ATSV Erlangen	1:3 ✺
05.04.24	ATSV Erlangen - Würzburger FV	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Abtswind - ATSV Erlangen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
03.10.23	ATSV Erlangen - Donaustauf	2:2
29.04.23	Donaustauf - ATSV Erlangen	3:1
23.09.22	ATSV Erlangen - Donaustauf	5:3

Donaustauf - ATSV Erlangen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide