Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD - ROUND 18

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Donaustauf		Ingolstadt II

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.83
	3.5	3.86	1.87
	3.5	3.86	1.88
	3.45	3.9	1.8
	3.5	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)	3.82 ↓ (3.97)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donaustauf
26.3%

Draw
24%

Ingolstadt II
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

22.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

21.9%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donaustauf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ingolstadt II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donaustauf than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt II than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ingolstadt II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ingolstadt II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Donaustauf won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Donaustauf won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Donaustauf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
13.10.23	Kornburg - Donaustauf	5:0 ✺
10.10.23	Donaustauf - DJK Ammerthal	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Donaustauf - Cham	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	ATSV Erlangen - Donaustauf	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Neumarkt - Donaustauf	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWTL
- Ingolstadt II
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
14.10.23	Ingolstadt II - Neumarkt	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Abtswind - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
03.10.23	Ingolstadt II - Coburg	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Bayern Hof - Ingolstadt II	2:2 ✺
15.09.23	Fortuna Regensburg - Ingolstadt II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
09.04.22	Donaustauf - Ingolstadt II	1:5
15.09.21	Ingolstadt II - Donaustauf	2:3
16.11.19	Donaustauf - Ingolstadt II	1:1
24.07.19	Ingolstadt II - Donaustauf	5:2

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